Software predicts who will die in “Game of Thrones” – Deutsche Welle

On Sunday (24/04) will air in the United States, Brazil and other countries the much anticipated sixth season of Game of Thrones . The rules of “Game of Thrones” are relentless:. Bad the viewer become accustomed, in the worst case even loved a character, there she is, dead – by poison, dagger, lynching

Who survives the next episode, who will be next to disappear, does anyone will resist until the end of the series? At least the runt and nihilistic antihero Tyrion Lannister (Peter Dinklage) or headstrong leader Daenerys Targaryen (Emilia Clarke)?

For more taboos to break, other TV series follow betting on the classic personal identification with some central character, whether gangster, vampire, drug manufacturer or undead.

Based on the fantastic fiction books of George RR Martin, Game of Thrones is different : alleged protagonists and key figures do not dominate the scene for long. The authors do not make great ceremonies:. Be brave, sadistic, sexy, honest or contemptible is no guarantee of survival for anyone

carnage Algorithm

Convinced that this fantastic universe is not as unpredictable as it seems, more than 40 students of Computer Science Technical University of Munich gathered to unravel the rules that govern the carnage in Westeros, Essos and company.

the idea Guy was Yachdav, ardent fan of the television series and doctoral student at the German university. His hypothesis was that while breaking with expectations and with genre conventions, the Game of Thrones also obey an algorithm – that is, a sequence of procedures ordered for a particular purpose, according to a succession and pre-established rules. As a computer program. Or, precisely, in a game

So also to animate a bit of a normally dull programming course, Yachdav and his colleagues have developed programs to collect on the Internet and analyze all data relating to the series -. And thus deduce who may be the next victims

statistical accuracy

some of the rules identified by Throne-maniacs Technical University:.

– men are more at risk than women;

” mother of Dragons “Daenerys Targaryen is very likely death, despite being a woman

– the probability of being killed is higher among characters between 20 and 40 years;

– if the mother is dead, grows the probability of the character itself die;

– the young prince Tommen Baratheon (Dean-Charles Chapman) has 97% probability of dying;

– despite being a woman, is 95% likely that the “Mother of Dragons” Daenerys Targaryen is among the next victims;

– on the other hand, the probability of death for Jon Snow (Kit Harington) is only 11% – even though, at the end of the season, have looked like the hero so beloved by the public died.

the litmus test will be the sixth season occurrences. The University of Munich ensure that your algorithm is applied to 74% of all deaths so far in the series – a considerable degree of statistical reliability. But continue working to further raise the level of accuracy

Although confined to the realm of fantasy, your venture is not in vain:. Before the continuous success of Game of Thrones , the surely fans still have a few seasons, many episodes and countless deaths and other emotions ahead.